Jeff Jarvis sparked my thinking on this recently with his post on The Jobless Future. As Jeff so bluntly stated:
“We’re not going to have a jobless recovery. We’re going to have a jobless future.
Holding out blind hope for the magical appearance of new jobs and the reappearance of growth in the economy is a fool’s faith.”
If that is the case in the US, and we have riots on the streets in the UK, Spain, Greece, north Africa and the middle east, then things are not looking good in large portions of the world. There will likely be flow on economic and social effects around the world, especially since Richard Florida is pondering if riots could come to Canada too.
Nouriel Roubini may be right in his assertion that “Karl Marx had it right. At some point, Capitalism can destroy itself.”
The inherent instability of markets in the US and Europe mean that jobs are going to be harder to come by, especially for the less educated and the less skilled.
All of this got me thinking about what skills are really useful in this new world that is developing before our eyes? What kinds of businesses and communities will be more resilient in the face of changing economic verities? How do we need to recast our expectations and aspirations for this new world that is unfolding?
That kind of thinking led me over to John Robb’s blog and one of his recent posts, Entrepreneurs and Open Source Hardware. Perhaps we are all about to become open source entrepreneurs?
The kind of economic environment that is emerging is one where sustainable and ethical business models can come into their own. Not large scale, top-down, industrial operations. Rather there is an opportunity to develop peer-to-peer and networked organisations. Social innovation, social enterprise and ideas like collaborative consumption become significant, and a return to older ways of organising businesses – like co-operatives and mutual associations – become critical.
We also need to find ways to create and exchange value in an environment where traditional mechanisms might no longer be available to us. This means creation of new means of value exchange, or even new kinds of currencies. Reverting to gold is not really feasible, after all it’s rather heavy to tote around. Thus virtual currencies might even come to replace some of the existing ones
If you consider it unbelievable that major currencies can fail then it’s time to go read some history. Just to put it in perspective there’s a great visual post by Jeff Clark over at The Daily Reckoning that illustrates the risk rather neatly: A Thousand Pictures Is Worth One Word.
One thought on “How do we create and share value in a jobless economy?”
I see it as also being an energy problem. Past growth and economics activity was based on energy availability, at cheap prices.
Look at the price of oil. Even with the downturns of the US & EU, new demand from China, India and the developing world means more demand overall. This means there isn’t enough energy to maintain the low energy status quo the OECD is built on.
New jobs in the OECD means a new energy labour dynamic. Problem is that means letting go of high energy ways. The problem isn’t capitalism, but the failure to maintain it in a workable form. Big multinationals short circuited markets by unbalancing them. Initially by creating asymmetrical markets, and ultimately delaying change and evolution with bail outs and subsidies from the public purse.
Too much deregulation, unlearning the lessons of the 30’s. Too much wealth being concentrated in the top 1%. Not enough energy to go round, with a climate change chaser. A recipe for social instability.
Comments are closed.